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No evidence for that. The Koreans are very serious about mil exports and play the game very well. They were always the favourites especially as the RMAF were more interested in a combat capable LIFT than a full blown fighter

One has to understand that 90%+ of major global arms deals are all political, if GoI isn’t serious about these things then success is going to allude these export bids. you’re going up against the biggest players on the planet with P5 UNSC members backing them to the hilt

https://x.com/ksingh_1469/status/1725677587337265519?s=46&t=8QPJecNQmmoeL0BRyMQdjg

agreed with everything you’ve said but have to emphasise this can ONLY happen if the order is placed in the next 2-3 years, come 2026/7 the last MK1A of the 73+10 order will be on the jig, the only way the production gets above 16/yr is if orders are placed during the current production run...

At this point I’d rather HAL make them at the fastest rate possible (once contract is received which is still nowhere to be seen), yes add on whatever LRUs can be done with production up and running but above all india needs stable production and 100s of the thing churned out ASAP, iterative...

MRFA isn’t feasible, it’s too complicated and pricey, there’s a reason it hasn’t made any progress in almost 10 years. Not even the RFP is out. MK.2 is a post 2030s induction, MK1As will be ordered/inducted this side of 2030 and once production is humming the lines will be used additional...

No MRFA are coming, end of story. this move is only because that reality is dawning on the generals

‘Shifted to airforce’ is a fantasy, people said the same about the 29Ks possibly services pay for their toys and extract the maximum possible life out of them, they aren’t going to trade between them I’m still not that convinced the Rafale-M will ever be ordered, they haven’t even finalised...

You’re just making things up, the CAS literally says 100 more MK1A this has never appeared in the IAF’s force projections before, it has only ever mentioned 123 LCA MK1/1A and ~100 MRFA by 2030 so 100 more MK1A is almost certainly going to push MRFA out of the door as it’s abundantly clear...

100 more LCA MK1A kills MRFA

https://x.com/ani/status/1702951719620264212?s=46&t=8QPJecNQmmoeL0BRyMQdjg The only logical move and a pretty obvious sign MRFA is dead but ‘moving a case’ is perhaps the least committed answer possible. If they drag it out as long as the 83 MK1A order the first jets from this second order...

As I say often- corruption or incompetence, it’s hard to differentiate the two but the effects are the same. unless it’s imports the Indian military are totally incapable of providing a framework to help build Industry. Until recently they had payment arrears worth 100s of millions of USD to...

Once HAL’s ALH production line was stable they’ve not missed a single deadline for it, LCH is being delivered on time too. Any teething issues they have they generally iron out, they need large upfront orders and stable requirements and they’ll get it done, they rarely get that though + lol at...

All the media reports they came out from the Nasik/3rd LCA line failed to mention any such issues and the latest official line from HAL has been from Feb-March 2024 for MK1A deliveries. They’ve signed a contract and there’s penalties attached, I’m very certain they’ll do what is asked of them...

The MQ25 is designed for carrier air wings of the USN to replace the buddy-buddy refuelling fighters have to do, the USAF is not replacing even a single of their manned tankers with unmanned ones, a MQ25 can refuel how many fighters? 2? Maybe 3? A squadron has 18-20 fighters, the cost of 1 MQ25...

that doesn’t make sense, the first jets of the MK1A order will be 2 seaters, the first single seat then will be delivered in 2026/7

Local assembly is not the same as IPR, the US is happy to sell almost anything they have to India (barring the stuff they won’t sell to anyone) but the 125KN engine is a JV that is meant to have certain IPR sharing, the US structurally cannot permit this thinking otherwise is pure fantasy

Indeed. India does get a lot of exceptions these days despite not being in NATO or a treaty ally of the US (CAATSA pass for the S400, only non-NATO nation to be offered the MQ9B, co-production of certain cutting edge tech) but they’ll never handover IP to India- no nation will but the US is...

That’s true but the hysteria around these bids is tiresome. Pretending like they are certain and then having the deals scrapped or awarded to others because the reality is HAL has no hope without the GoI representing them

Flipping finally So about 8 months to deliver the remaining 7 before they switch completely to the MK1A final assembly + where’s NP5??