If Ukraine looses war and gives up
The scenario above is currently under internal debate within official circles in NATO countries. Signs indicate that despite America's efforts to bolster Ukraine with an additional $60 billion in military aid, it may result in further casualties for Ukrainians and Russians alike, leading to a Korean War-style stalemate. This outcome would be detrimental, as it would signify Ukraine's loss in the war and indirectly weaken American hegemony over much of Europe.
In hindsight, a misguided suggestion led America to consider opening a new front in Europe to decisively defeat Russia (formerly the Soviet Union). While NATO initially showed enthusiasm, with America providing most of the financial resources and Ukraine contributing manpower under the leadership of President Zelensky, the outcome has been far from promising. Despite early claims of Ukrainian success by Western media, Russian forces have regrouped and made significant gains, including a recent devastating strike on a Ukrainian hotel where Ukrainian senior military officers were meeting, killing 50 or more.
If Ukraine falls, it will not only signify a defeat for America and NATO but also mark the decline of American hegemony globally. A power shift would likely occur in Europe, and China would seize the opportunity to assert dominance in the East, posing threats to various near Pacific nations including Taiwan, Japan and Philippines. President Biden may face criticism for initiating the conflict, highlighting the importance of avoiding unnecessary provocations. Despite repeated pleas from Russia to refrain from integrating Ukraine into NATO, these warnings were disregarded, resulting in catastrophic consequences for the country.